Does anybody else remember when the mega millions was at close to a billion and Anthony said in earnest that he had like 1:600,000 odds because he bought 1,000 tickets
Well, I mean... he's not wrong, is he? Aren't the odds of winning actually better than that? Something like 1 in 125 million? Unless he was actually dumb enough to buy 1000 of the same ticket, but he can't be that dumb.
It's more like 1:300 million. Each set of numbers still has the 1:300 million odds but he has 1000 shots at it. That does not increase your odds by as much as he was claiming.
That would be the case if he sat there and made 1000 totally unique combos. But with a machine picking the numbers, even singular duplicate number in some sets throw that math off.
If u have 1000 tickets the chance that a ticket of yours is the same as another ticket of yours is 1000/300000000 so 1 in 300 000 and you have a thousand chances so 1000 x 1/300000 and that's roughly 1 in 300. That was my calculation which is indeed wrong because it should be scaling down
999 tickets that can match
998
997
Etc....
But i don't know how to calculate that so maybe it's
1 in 3000?
I think you're talking about a partially-correct ticket, that gives you a part of the prize money; whereas I suspect Dr. Cumia was only talking about winning the full billion.
Spreading out his tickets to cover the whole probability space would indeed increase his chances of winning something, and I'm sure Dr Cumia did it that way rather than just loudly requesting a thousand dollar's worth of randomly-picked tickets while cackling like a gypsy crone.
Because that is not how probability works. If he picked 1000 tickets that were unique he would be covering 1000 of 300000000 possibles, so his odds of winning would only drop to 1 in 299999000.
No.If you were to select one person that bought a ticket his chance would be 1 in 300 million. If you were to select 1000 people the chance would be 1000 in 300 million.
Because the odds are on a random SET of numbers, not one single long continuous number. Each set has odds of 1 in 300 million. He raised his odds but only infinitesimally. Here's an article that explains the odds
It's shit like this that makes me scratch my head when people treated him like he was some intellect when all he basically ever did would regurgitate shit he heard on the History Channel, Discovery Channel or Fox News. If the illiterate wop ever actually picked up a book his mind would explode.
Brother Joe actually writes a little better from what I can tell, but he's a pretentious, pseudointellectual jerkoff. The two of them have probably read 1 book each since high school.
What are you talking about? Joe's maybe the worst writer in the O&A verse, and doesn't say anything even pretentiously intellectual. Unless you think obsessing about politics is somehow in the realm of "big boy thinking".
38 comments
1 Not_Just_You 2017-07-28
Probably
1 CoyoteeBongwater 2017-07-28
Tssshuhhhh yeahhhhh, the odds are ever in your favor or sumptin fawkin that shit wuz deep
1 3stepsbackward 2017-07-28
Let's not forget when noted meteorologist and climatologist, Dr. Anthony "Nigger" Cumia, said that Hurricane Sandy wouldn't make that left turn.
1 Billyassman 2017-07-28
Weather made him buy a generator, that he'll never use.lol
1 ShadowbannedKeithM 2017-07-28
Anthony is stupid, he always has been. I'm sure his Puerto Rican father used to tell his this all the time
1 TinKnockinMoroccan 2017-07-28
He may have called him a homosexual too.
1 ppeachy 2017-07-28
N people are very irresponsible with their money
1 dackots 2017-07-28
Well, I mean... he's not wrong, is he? Aren't the odds of winning actually better than that? Something like 1 in 125 million? Unless he was actually dumb enough to buy 1000 of the same ticket, but he can't be that dumb.
1 pusigineht1 2017-07-28
It's more like 1:300 million. Each set of numbers still has the 1:300 million odds but he has 1000 shots at it. That does not increase your odds by as much as he was claiming.
1 7778u 2017-07-28
If there are 300 million combinations of winning numbers and he has 1000 of them, how are his odds not 1 in 300,000?
1 pusigineht1 2017-07-28
That would be the case if he sat there and made 1000 totally unique combos. But with a machine picking the numbers, even singular duplicate number in some sets throw that math off.
1 GullibleGilbert 2017-07-28
u are retarded
1 7778u 2017-07-28
Unless you mean the machine gave him duplicate tickets you're completely wrong.
1 wifflebb 2017-07-28
With 300M combinations, it's very unlikely he'd get even one duplicate.
1 GullibleGilbert 2017-07-28
It should be around 1 in 300
1 wifflebb 2017-07-28
This sounds extremely wrong. Can you explain your math?
1 GullibleGilbert 2017-07-28
If u have 1000 tickets the chance that a ticket of yours is the same as another ticket of yours is 1000/300000000 so 1 in 300 000 and you have a thousand chances so 1000 x 1/300000 and that's roughly 1 in 300. That was my calculation which is indeed wrong because it should be scaling down 999 tickets that can match 998 997 Etc....
But i don't know how to calculate that so maybe it's 1 in 3000?
1 wifflebb 2017-07-28
I think the odds are much lower than this but lack the brainpower to figure it out. It's a more complex equation.
1 dackots 2017-07-28
No. The odds of getting duplicates are negligible. Very close to 1 in 300,000.
1 Jungies 2017-07-28
I think you're talking about a partially-correct ticket, that gives you a part of the prize money; whereas I suspect Dr. Cumia was only talking about winning the full billion.
Spreading out his tickets to cover the whole probability space would indeed increase his chances of winning something, and I'm sure Dr Cumia did it that way rather than just loudly requesting a thousand dollar's worth of randomly-picked tickets while cackling like a gypsy crone.
1 tyson766 2017-07-28
Because that is not how probability works. If he picked 1000 tickets that were unique he would be covering 1000 of 300000000 possibles, so his odds of winning would only drop to 1 in 299999000.
1 7778u 2017-07-28
You are not a smart man.
1 wifflebb 2017-07-28
Lol no
1 p3ckaz 2017-07-28
The stupidity in this thread is staggering, you're as dumb as Anthony. Here's how odds work.
1 tar_baby33 2017-07-28
This is correct.
1 HugininuM 2017-07-28
You were bad on Wackbag and you're worse here.
1 KilstiensRapeBaby 2017-07-28
No.If you were to select one person that bought a ticket his chance would be 1 in 300 million. If you were to select 1000 people the chance would be 1000 in 300 million.
1 DOPIEandSTANLEY 2017-07-28
But what if instead of lottery tickets they were jelly beans
1 dackots 2017-07-28
I think we found Vos' reddit account.
1 p3ckaz 2017-07-28
Because the odds are on a random SET of numbers, not one single long continuous number. Each set has odds of 1 in 300 million. He raised his odds but only infinitesimally. Here's an article that explains the odds
1 tar_baby33 2017-07-28
This is correct.
1 dackots 2017-07-28
They are.
1 wifflebb 2017-07-28
Completely wrong.
1 SlimWiggins 2017-07-28
There are 300m sets of numbers... Ant has 1,000 of those sets.. so there are 299,999,000 sets of numbers that he does not have..
1 dackots 2017-07-28
You are a moron and don't understand basic probability.
1 dackots 2017-07-28
Yes it would?
1 EastSideDan 2017-07-28
It's shit like this that makes me scratch my head when people treated him like he was some intellect when all he basically ever did would regurgitate shit he heard on the History Channel, Discovery Channel or Fox News. If the illiterate wop ever actually picked up a book his mind would explode.
1 F_H_Rileys_MaitreD 2017-07-28
Brother Joe actually writes a little better from what I can tell, but he's a pretentious, pseudointellectual jerkoff. The two of them have probably read 1 book each since high school.
1 packitchofsositch 2017-07-28
What are you talking about? Joe's maybe the worst writer in the O&A verse, and doesn't say anything even pretentiously intellectual. Unless you think obsessing about politics is somehow in the realm of "big boy thinking".
1 Bibimbap4211 2017-07-28
No matter the odds, he'd be too drunk to bother checking his tickets.