Opie' Raqio's Real Impact on SiriusXM

0  2015-04-08 by 867-5309-

In the April 8 listening thread there was a discussion of the impact that Opie Raqio has on the success of SiriusXM, the show's advertisers, impact of the show on subscriber retention and Opie's potential salary. It was a good discussion, but I was unfortunately a bit of an ass to /u/frrunkis , and apologize for that...so I wanted to start the conversation with a more appropriate, professional response to the these topics.

In early 2014 Macquarie Equities Research released the results of the survey in which Sirius XM subscribers were questioned in order to quantify the impact of Howard Stern’s presence on the service. The results found that a minority would feel the hurt if they lost their regular dose of Stern.

  • Of the respondents, only 12 percent reported that they listen to Stern regularly.  (Note 12 percent of total subscribers is approximately 3.2 million listeners.)
  • Among the 12 percent who reported they listen to Stern regularly, 30% reported that tune in to Stern’s show less than twice a week.

  • Only 5 percent of Sirius XM subscribers said that they would consider leaving if Howard Stern was no longer offered by the company.  

  • 96 percent of subscribers responded that they would NOT pay extra (either higher rates or an additional fee) to keep Stern in the programming lineup..

Macquarie Equities Research’s Amy Young, author of the study shared the logic behind Stern’s diminishing impact on the satellite radio company: “What this tells us: for new entrants or ‘niche’ players, obtaining high-profile anchor content is a key differentiator and important in building a critical mass,” she says. “As the business evolves, it becomes less vital.”

When Sirius launched in 2002 subscribers had to purchase receivers at retail locations (Best Buy, Good Guys, Radio Shack) and then either have the radio professionally installed in their cars or do it themselves; this is the process that the vast majority of consumers had to endure when Stern joined Sirius in 2006.  

Using his terrestrial radio show, Stern’s grandiose promises of what his show and his channels would feature when they launched at Sirius successfully convinced countless members of his terrestrial audience to purchase satellite radios and subscribe because if they didn’t they would be missing out on the coolest thing ever.  [Note: Almost all of Stern’s promises either never came to fruition or happened a few times; his channels never resembled what he promised his audience]  

Over the past decade the company has successfully partnered with U.S., European, and Asian automakers to integrate SiriusXM technology into vehicles. Today over 70 million are automobiles in the U.S. include SiriusXM radios.  This year over 71 percent of the roughly 16 million new cars rolled out in the U.S. have satellite radio built into the dashboard.

The auto partnerships have been key in diminishing Stern’s impact on the company’s bottom-line simply because it completely changed the customer acquisition and retention process: whereas in the past it required personalities and brands offered by the company such as Stern, Opie & Anthony and Major League Baseball to be the consumer what convinced the consumer to invest the time to go to a retailer to purchase and install the satellite radio equipment, today it’s very likely that it’s already included in their automobile as well as being available both online and on smartphones (with the company offering extended free trials on all of it’s delivery methods).      SiriusXM has proven that people will pay for radio if you offer them something easy to use and more enticing than what’s available free, Jim Meyer, chief executive officer of SiriusXM says. What most satellite radio customers pay for, he says, is the variety. “It’s not one piece of content,” he says.

SiriusXM is constantly making additions to its programming bundle of curated music channels, talk radio shows, and live sports, which has meant making deals with the NFL, the NBA, MLB, NHL, and Nascar. The company continues to develop programming offerings to appeal to key demographics to provide them with another addition to their many reasons for continuing their subscription to the service.   

Why Highly Visible Personalities Stay with SiriusXM:
FBR Capital Markets analyst Barton Crockett says SiriusXM is “highly likely” to keep Stern. He points out that Stern’s alternatives come with short steps backward in compensation, reach, or prestige.

If Stern returned to terrestrial radio, he’d find himself wrestling with government regulators. If he launched a direct-to-consumer product, he’d have to spend significant time and money building the infrastructure.

If he went to Google or Apple, his show would be less accessible for U.S. drivers. By 2017, according to estimates from IHS Automotive, Apple CarPlay and Android Auto will be available in only 3 million vehicles in the U.S. and Canada. By then, SiriusXM estimates that more than 100 million American cars will be satellite-radio-enabled.

Crockett doubts music-oriented services such as Spotify or Pandora would have enough money to poach Stern even if they wanted to. “I don’t know that anyone else can give him as good a combination of lifestyle and money as he can get at SiriusXM,” Crockett says. “If you go to one of these emerging things, it’s not going to be at the same level. SiriusXM has finally become a big platform.”

Why did SiriusXM renew Opie’s contract?
Much like when Stern left terrestrial radio for Sirius, new media companies that are looking to significantly increase their subscriber base among males 18-54 could have used the Opie & Anthony Show as the foundation to acquire new customers and work towards achieving that goal. By re-signing Opie and Jim, SiriusXM was able to prevent it’s new media competition from taking advantage of such an opportunity. Effectively killing the Opie & Anthony brand was advantageous to SiriusXM in several ways.

Does Opie make over a million dollars a year?
I don’t know and I have several doubts. One of the biggest misconceptions is that Opie & Anthony have been earning huge salaries since 1999; that is not the case, when they signed with XM their contract was not too impressive. Opie & Anthony earned all of their big money when Infinity/CBS signed them to their huge deal at WNEW; the reason they attained such a huge contract was two-fold: the show’s strong ratings produced substantial advertising revenue for the company which caused them to become the first show viewed as a potential real challenger to Stern’s supremacy in the key demographic in morning drive radio. Infinity/CBS threw a ton of money at O&A to prevent Clear Channel and others from giving O&A a similar offer to do nationwide morning drive for that company (it’s been said that the offer from Infinity/CBS was significantly higher than the others which makes it clear that Infinity/CBS knew that O&A were a legitimate contender to dethrone Stern).

Another reason I question if Opie makes 7 figures is that, if I recall correctly, it was revealed a few years ago that Jimmy was earning $250K/year from SiriusXM. I simply cannot fathom that Opie would be earning $750K more than Jimmy. I could be wrong.

Sources: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-11/howard-stern-siriusxm-contract-doubts-come-amid-upheaval-in-radio

http://deadline.com/2014/01/should-siriusxm-ask-howard-stern-to-take-a-pay-cut-669893/

19 comments

PECKAHS

I think it's widely known O&A were each making 7 figures. Not sure about Jim.

I'd love to see documentation of it; the last contract amount that is publicly known is the contract signed just prior to cancellation of the show following the Sex for Sam.

The false number that got reported around Ant's firing was $3mil, and Ant and Opie both said the reported number was a tad high. But there's no you would say $3mil is a little high when it's under $1mil

This might sound simplistic but don't most people generally inflate their salary on the rare times it's discussed? I've definitely been guilty of it.

The contract they signed right before Sex for Sam was huge. When they debuted on XM they mentioned taking a pay cut but satellite radio is the future. Then Howard signed with Sirius for half a billion.

If I were in O&A's position I'd pump up the number too.

One thing that O&A was very smart about and successful in doing is investing their money.

Again, I could be completely wrong about it being revealed a while ago that Jimmy was making $250K/year (surprisingly no one has disputed it yet) and it's the $250K that makes it feel improbable that Opie & Ant would be making four times his salary.

You did a great job summarizing the situation.

I wrote a similar post in the Carolla sub : http://www.reddit.com/r/AdamCarolla/comments/31w7x4/comedy_economics_101/

For me, the most valuable data point is Danny Bonaduce's divorce papers. In there, we see the following:

1) A C-Level radio personality can make half a million per year

2) This isn't new, but divorces are fucking expensive. Bonaduce was unemployed when he got hit with a divorce settlement that gave $120,000 per year to his wife, $72,000 per year to his kids, plus a free home and medical care. It's possible that he has to pay that until the day he dies, depending on how long he was married. Celebrities get completely motherfucked in divorces, because the laws basically assume that if they made a million in one year, they can make a million EVERY year for the rest of their lives. It is a standard which was created based on Regular Joe Six Pack, but which does not make sense for someone whose income varies dramatically throughout their lifetime.

I think it's plausible that Jimmy has the highest net worth of all three of them. Wives are really expensive.

Thanks for your kind words. The Bonaduce information is very intriguing.

I aint readin that pieca gahbige

The numbers prove one thing. If Stern leaving wouldnt make any kind of impact to SiriusXM's reach, then we know Opie leaving would have even less of an impact.

At this point, with the Opie & Anthony brand dead, I'd argue that the impact on the company from Opie leaving would be equal to or less than the impact of Jenny Hutt leaving.

I think those Stern numbers from that survey are a little high. A very small % of XM subs signed up for the best of Sirius to even hear Stern. And we all know the total number of subs is wayyyyy inflated due to rental cars, free trials and unsold cars sitting on lots.

Great points. You're absolutely right, the free trials allow the company to demonstrate an artificial subscriber total which makes the company appear healthy in the eyes of Wall Street. It's the same reason why Vince McMahon has been offering a free month of the WWE Network which just happens to coincide with the month of their quarterly financial numbers are announced.

I though Ant said the 3 million per year for both of them was a tad high and they were closer to half that.

Which is still very nice

There are three reasons I don't think Opie and Anthony are big anymore.

Have you ever tried to talk about the show in public lately? I have. To bomb responses. Especially to people under 30. These people simply are not listening to talk radio. Opie and What, who, etc are the responses you get. At the height of the Twitter controversy, I brought it up as it was appropriate to an in class discussion in college of a class of about 50 people. Nobody thought Anthony was racist or should have been fired before I spoke about it...Because nobody knew what the FUCK I was talking about!

Advertisers. Stern and O&A have tawdry, low rent, sex and toilet related sponsors. They used to get Heineken and Samuel Adams and Xbox. Now its Boy Butter and Squatty Potty and Ashley Madison for the both of them. The biggest name brand advertisers lately for them were Apple for Stern and Samsung for O&A. They bought a large amount of advertisement simply by giving people trinkets. You look at the rates that Stern and O&A and Ron and Fez charge and its a few hundred to a few thousand dollars. Nobody is laying out the big bucks for advertisement anymore.

Shock Jock Radio is passe, if not dead. The biggest things in talk radio are not 1990s style shock jockery. Its all politics, largely right wing to an increasingly older core audience, and now recently, sports talk. Shock jocks don't mean SHIT to SXM on the whole. Ant's reprehensible firing didn't even cause the stock to drop half of a percent.

Uh....it's called target demographics.

Great comments and insights.

One very noticeable difference is that Stern still has a number of very lucrative advertisers who have been with him since KROCK. While the O&A commercials are a bit trashy, if you listen to Stern live the ads are more reputable.

By the way, you're spot-on about the SiriusXM ad rates. One thing I learned from understanding SXM's ad rate card is that the more prominent podcasters ad rate claims are complete and utter bullshit.

Anthony also said they made seven figures, but Anthony is also a racist and lunatic ahah

Seven numbers could also be the total value of the contract (has in $750k x 2 = $1.5mm).

Regardless of if they make more than one mil or not per year, the boys have said themselves that their 1999-2002 WNEW contract was the one with the crazy "is this real" money. They've probably never made as much money has they did with that contract. Even when they went back to FreeFM with CBS in 2007-2009. Arbitron changed radio ratings from the books to the personal people meters and all radio ratings across the entire industry took a huge shit because people filling out the books were lying about how much they were listening to radio. Advertising dollars are down and even with a big national syndication push to all the FreeFM stations they probably didn't make as much as that first WNEW deal.

This. Somewhere on the internet (twitter, reddit, somewhere) I'm pretty sure Ant posted that they hadn't made in the million PER YEAR range since WNEW. They most likely make 500-750/year for a total of a 7 figure contract.

This might sound simplistic but don't most people generally inflate their salary on the rare times it's discussed? I've definitely been guilty of it.

The contract they signed right before Sex for Sam was huge. When they debuted on XM they mentioned taking a pay cut but satellite radio is the future. Then Howard signed with Sirius for half a billion.

If I were in O&A's position I'd pump up the number too.

One thing that O&A was very smart about and successful in doing is investing their money.

Again, I could be completely wrong about it being revealed a while ago that Jimmy was making $250K/year (surprisingly no one has disputed it yet) and it's the $250K that makes it feel improbable that Opie & Ant would be making four times his salary.